Method
Based on a previous Project Vital Analysis®, we help organizations to identify key opportunities and risks in critical situations.
Planned measures are organized into complex systems according to the level of their intervention. The system structure for complex systems proposed by Dr. Harmut Bossel, consisting of the levels of direct intervention, feedback, system parameters, system structure, system purpose and guiding values, can be used for this purpose.
Planned effects as well as remote and side effects of identified measures are described, explained and evaluated with the help of TOP-DOWN and BOTTOM-UP scenarios from different temporal perspectives – from a present and a future perspective.
In this way, it is possible to efficiently assess whether the currently envisioned future and the measures currently planned for it – viewed from the perspectives of different possible and probable futures – appear appropriate and therefore effective. The occurrence of unintended remote and side effects cannot be completely ruled out by this approach, but the probability of the undetected / surprising occurrence of undesirable future contingencies can be reduced.